Why ocean warming can not be caused by global warming

Recent ocean warming over the past century and a half can not be caused by alleged CO2-induced global warming for three main reasons:

1) Most of the warming occurred before the time of significant atmospheric CO2.

2) The warming occurs 100s of metres deep down – too deep for that warmth to have come from the surface – and is so disparate from ocean to ocean as to suggest local or natural causes, not a global one like AGW.

3) The magnitude of the ocean warming is some 45 times that of the air in energy terms. If you believe that a change in air temperature can produce a 45 times larger change in ocean heat content then you believe CO2 is a magic molecule, which climate scientists do. (Officially climate scientists say about 1/5 of that 45x is due to humans but it's a sheer guess).

What the above suggests is that the oceans are very influential in 20th century warming rather than AGW.

Boy how I regret installing the disqus comments plugin

I thought I'd be clever and install Disqus comments plugin on my blog, replacing the native blogger system. But it was a mistake for two reasons:

Firstly, there is a technical glitch that arose about 8 months ago due to to some issue with blogger going from an http to https address. This split my comments into two separate streams. You can still see all of the older comments on the disqus site but they don't properly appear on this blog anymore. I don't have the time or desire to learn how to resolve this issue.

Greenland GPS (GNET) data is missing

If anyone can find the Polenet Greenland GPS data please let me know cause I can't find it anywhere. There's no data on the Polenet site:

http://polenet.org/data

Their last blog post is missing.



The site they link to for the data, UNAVCO, has only two graphs for the entire island of Greenland, one from the periphery (KAGA) and one from the ridge toward the south of the ice cap (SUMM).

The real significance of the latest climate scare on soil

The real significance is that not all the carbon dioxide rise comes from the burning of fossil fuels. Hence taking action to reduce earth's percentage of carbon dioxide by stopping fossil fuels burning are even more futile. But to the doh-dohs who don't understand cost-benefit-analysis who promote climate change it means climey change is even more scary and.....yup: worse than we thought. Oh noes!

http://zeenews.india.com/environment/climate-change-warming-soils-may-intensify-earths-temperatures-warn-scientists-2048600.html

Grace data update reveals NASA Greenland mass-loss fraud

NASA's GRACE satellite data continues to show a loss while the ground-based DMI model shows a huge ice gain this year.

The hottest month in #Greenland is usually July.
The melt season may be over for this year.
July 25-August 7, 2017https://t.co/sNxIwoCMYE pic.twitter.com/Nk4oCiHmfZ

— キリエ (@KiryeNet) 8 August 2017

Here is my GRACE graph which is from the data now updated to January 2017 and it still shows ice loss.

A 3C rise in temperature is just a 1% energy rise

With no phase changes the energy content of the air is proportional to its temperature. Earth's pre-industrial average temperature is 15C. Under a high estimate for CO2 warming of 3C the final temperature is 18C. Convert to absolute temperature and the difference is just 1.04%:

(273 + 18) - (273 + 15) / (273 + 15) = 1.04%

Warmists don't like facts laid bare like this (_1, _2). 1% is not enough to notice any difference in any climate metric such as hurricanes or tornadoes. Instead they insist on expressing the energy increase in joules or Hiroshima atomic bomb equivalent. This is more useful for their scare narrative. But when this energy is spread out over a large area it's nothing. This is why warmists hate the percentage value.

The true significance of ocean warming

AGW believers use ocean warming as their number one excuse for the atmospheric warming pause going on 19 years now – a pause during the time of highest CO2 rise. Their refrain is that the oceans are warming because they're absorbing the "missing AGW heat". [1, 2, 3] 

But a new paper by Trenberth et al (link, mirror) published in March 2017 suggests that ocean warming is coming from deeper layers, especially the 700 to 2000m layer, and is surely therefore due to natural factors not global warming.

Has the hockey schtick left the building?

Unfortunately we may never know the real identity of who the hockey schtick is. They have protected their anonymity well. And no blame there. Why would't you protect your anonymity online? You have every right to. The only thing I can gather from their blog is that their initials are  "MS". But who knows if that's even valid?

Hockey Schtick appears to be a chemical engineer by trade who last blogged on Feb 4 2017. Lately their twitter feed appears to have been hacked.

GRACE satellite Greenland data is too negative-biased

Despite the DMI institute showing quite a mass gain for Greenland in 2016:

..The GRACE satellite data showed a continued mass decline.

BoM uptweaking Australia's average temperature to suit global warming narrative

Below is my derived RSS satellite temperature for Australia in the following rectangle:

New improved Australia RSS TLT satellite temperature

In my first attempt at this I got the longitude wrong (details here). Having corrected that, in my second attempt I defined a smaller rectangle to avoid any ocean areas as shown in the graph that follows.



...which yields the graph (16-point moving average in red):

More RSS TLT temps

It's often said there's a lot of warming in the North Atlantic & surrounding land stations so let us check there first with the RSS TLT temps in a square as depicted in the following map:



There is some warming in excess of the global average. It looks similar to the temps for North latitudes 21.25 N to 36.25 N (see graphs further down). In red is the code for Matlab R2016a.

RSS satellite temperature for Australia/Pacific

Below are RSS satellite temperatures for various regions in Australia/Pacific.  In a previous post (here) I derived lower tropospheric temp for Australia in a rectangle shown in the map below.

In this post I define a smaller rectangle (red) to avoid any ocean areas, between longitudes 123.75 E to 146.25 E and latitudes 31.25 South to 21.25 South.

RSS temp anomaly for Australia corrected for longitude

I've discovered a mistake in my first attempt at unlocking the RSS temperature file for lower tropospheric temps: my longitude was off by 180 degrees.

Some time around that first attempt I took the time to verify the latitude (described here) but not the longitude. I discovered my mistake when I decided to verify the longitude for an upcoming post. Here is how the latitude and longitude numbers in the 144 x 72 x 458 array should look on a world map: